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America is Bogged Down Against a Militia With a State
[ originally published on DAWN ] Every war the West has fought in the post-9/11 "War on Terror" era has ended in some form of stalemate or outright defeat. Tactical battlefield successes never consolidated into sustainable strategic outcomes of security and stability — neither for America nor the region. While the U.S.-led coalition toppled Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein in 2003 quickly, it lost the war in the subsequent quagmire, fighting violent non-state actors across a spe
Andreas Krieg
Mar 195 min read


Gulf states are caught in middle of the US-Israel war on Iran. There is a way out
From Abu Dhabi to Riyadh, regional states must take steps to shape their own destinies, rather than being pawns in the Israeli-US agenda On Saturday morning, the departure board at Dubai’s main airport began to stack up with delays. Over the water, pale arcs rose, flared and vanished - interceptors, officials later said - leaving chalk traces in a sky turning white. Similar scenes occurred in Abu Dhabi, Doha, Manama and Kuwait City. Then, in the afternoon, both the Dubai air
Andreas Krieg
Mar 35 min read


Analysis: Why a ‘quick and clean’ US attack on Iran won’t be easy
Donald Trump has boxed himself in by promising to ‘help’ Iran’s protesters. But he has few good options for military operations that he can control. [published on Al Jazeera originally ] Illiberal systems often look most permanent just before they change. But moments of upheaval can also produce a different illusion: That the system is one dramatic external blow away from collapse. With Iran convulsed by unprecedented protests against the country’s leadership, it is tempting
Andreas Krieg
Jan 164 min read


How Israeli strikes are compelling shift in Gulf security thinking
The Iranian and Israeli attacks on Qatar in June and September this year, respectively, signify a profound shift in the Gulf's security...
Andreas Krieg
Sep 11, 20255 min read


"TACO" Trump and War in Iran - Between Madman Theory and Madness
As Trump enters a volatile phase of his second-term foreign policy, his erratic leadership style casts doubt on his ability to manage potential war in the Middle East. What resembles madman theory is, in reality, impulsive chaos lacking discipline or control.
Andreas Krieg
Jun 20, 20255 min read


Trump’s Biggest Test Yet: Can MAGA Diplomacy Survive Netanyahu’s Iran Gambit?
Israel’s surprise strike on Iran isn’t just military—it’s a political ambush aimed at derailing Trump’s MAGA diplomacy
Andreas Krieg
Jun 13, 20254 min read


Why the Gulf States Might Be the Most MAGA US Partners
This piece was originally published by the Arab Center Washington, DC The iconic red MAGA hat has arrived in the Gulf. It is quite...
Andreas Krieg
May 14, 20254 min read


The UAE could be squeezed in a US-China tech tussle
Emirates would prefer to keep its options open, but Trump might make that impossible During President Donald Trump’s second term, due to...
Andreas Krieg
Nov 18, 20243 min read


Andreas Krieg
Nov 18, 20240 min read