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The Limits of Israel’s Degradation Strategy Against Iran’s Network State
Iran as a network-state will survive degradation from Israel
Andreas Krieg
11 minutes ago6 min read


"TACO" Trump and War in Iran - Between Madman Theory and Madness
As Trump enters a volatile phase of his second-term foreign policy, his erratic leadership style casts doubt on his ability to manage potential war in the Middle East. What resembles madman theory is, in reality, impulsive chaos lacking discipline or control.
Andreas Krieg
Jun 205 min read


Israel attacks Iran: Will Gulf states lead or be left behind?
The region is at a pivotal crossroads. If Gulf states do not seize this moment to exert strategic influence, they will be left cleaning...
Andreas Krieg
Jun 185 min read


Why Israel’s targeting of Iran’s nuclear sites could backfire
Israel has achieved stunning tactical successes against the Islamic Republic in the past few days but risks strategic overreach – and...
Andreas Krieg
Jun 164 min read


Trump’s Biggest Test Yet: Can MAGA Diplomacy Survive Netanyahu’s Iran Gambit?
Israel’s surprise strike on Iran isn’t just military—it’s a political ambush aimed at derailing Trump’s MAGA diplomacy
Andreas Krieg
Jun 134 min read


UAE drones have given rise to a new arms economy
An intricate arms supply network with the United Arab Emirates as its hub has been balancing the power between state and non-state actors...
Andreas Krieg
Jun 95 min read


Riyadh moves to rewire its global role with AI
Saudi Arabia aims to translate its hydrocarbon wealth into computational power [The article originally appeared on AGBI ] President Trump...
Andreas Krieg
May 164 min read


Why the Gulf States Might Be the Most MAGA US Partners
This piece was originally published by the Arab Center Washington, DC The iconic red MAGA hat has arrived in the Gulf. It is quite...
Andreas Krieg
May 144 min read


How Abu Dhabi built an axis of secessionists across the region
From North Africa to the Gulf, the UAE has aggressively expanded its counter-revolutionary strategy in the wake of the Arab Spring
Andreas Krieg
Mar 2915 min read


Gaza ceasefire: How did a small Gulf monarchy become a brand in mediation?
Offering a crucial bridge between great powers and non-state actors, Qatar has become an important force multiplier in the age of global...
Andreas Krieg
Jan 174 min read


The UAE could be squeezed in a US-China tech tussle
Emirates would prefer to keep its options open, but Trump might make that impossible During President Donald Trump’s second term, due to...
Andreas Krieg
Nov 18, 20243 min read


Andreas Krieg
Nov 18, 20240 min read


How Germany is manufacturing the Islamist bogeyman
A decade of toxic discourse from the far right in Germany has effectively mainstreamed anti-Muslim narratives
Andreas Krieg
Sep 5, 20244 min read


Network model shows resilience as Iran-Israel clash expands
Israel is playing chess against Iran playing a 3D network game
Andreas Krieg
Jul 16, 20245 min read


War on Gaza: Why Qatar won't let Hamas go just yet
Amid Doha's quest for global relevance, the Hamas link has established it as a crucial broker for stability [Originally published in...
Andreas Krieg
Apr 29, 20245 min read


Israel-Palestine war: How Qatar defied the odds in Gaza mediation
As an expert negotiator, Doha must now use this momentum to expand the truce deal beyond the short term [originally published at Middle...
Andreas Krieg
Nov 23, 20234 min read


Why Gulf Arab states move to become key nodes in emerging world order
The article on how the Gulf states create power was originally published with Amwaj Media Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab...
Andreas Krieg
Oct 6, 20235 min read


Russia's Wagner hydra has not yet been slain
Despite the death of Prigozhin, the network remains active, and it could now increasingly come under Moscow's control [originally...
Andreas Krieg
Sep 27, 20235 min read


Abu Dhabi Secrets: How the UAE exports its smear campaign across Europe
What began as an attempt by Abu Dhabi to compete in the regional information environment has developed into a network-based subversion of...
Andreas Krieg
Jul 17, 20235 min read


Qatar's decade of crisis and triumph
In a region as volatile as the Gulf, Tamim – an emir formed by crises – will have to continue to find the middle ground to maintain...
Andreas Krieg
Jun 25, 20235 min read